What is it? Why is it important?

The aim of a Sample Size Calculation (SSC) is to determine the minimum number of participants needed to address a study question. To calculate and decide on an applicable sample size, two main statistical frameworks are used:

 

  1. The hypothesis testing: the primary outcome / endpoint is assessed with a statistical test (e.g. the difference between an intervention and control group). In a hypothesis testing framework, two competing hypotheses are formulated, the:
    • Null hypothesis (H0) corresponds to the hypothetical claim that the treatment effect does not exist (e.g. no effect)
    • Alternative hypothesis (Ha) - contradicts the null hypothesis (e.g.claims the existence of a treatment effect)

 

  1. The Precision-based approach: The aim is to estimate a quantity with a certain accuracy. For example, the frequency of patients with a cardiac event (e.g. with a precision of +/- 2.5%), in other words with a certain width of the Confidence Interval (CI)

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The goal of hypothesis testing is to quantify the extent to which the null hypothesis is plausible in light of the data.

The most widely accepted way of quantifying evidence against the null hypothesis is to use the p-value. Given that the null hypothesis is true, the p-value is defined as the probability of obtaining a result equal to or more extreme than what was observed. The smaller the p-value, the stronger the evidence against the null hypothesis.

For example, a p-value of 0.001 means that if the null hypothesis was true, then we have a chance of 1 out of 1000 to observe a result equal or more extreme as the current one, i.e., the null hypothesis is not compatible with the observed data.

What do I need to do?

As a SP-INV:

  • Consult a statistician who can support you in the calculation of your study sample size
  • Provide him/her accurate and reliable information’s (see added information under More)
  • Ensure that the planned recruitment-target for study participants is realistic and achievable

 

As a SP-INV, you need to understand the importance of a proper sample size calculation. Keep in mind that a smaller sample size — whether due to an underestimation during study planning, or the premature termination of participant recruitment — will reduce the statistical power of the study. This may compromise its ability to answer the research question (i.e., a potential treatment effect may be missed).

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For a sample size calculation the following information should be provided to the statistician:

  • The objective of your study, which will determine the statistical framework of your study
  • The primary outcome/endpoint, including variable type (e.g. continuous, categorical, binary, count)
  • The variability for Δ (σ): a greater measurement variability makes it harder to detect a true effect from noise, which requires an increase in the study`s sample size.

 

In a hypothesis testing framework, the key ingredients to calculate the sample size of a study are:

  • The (minimal) clinically relevant treatment effect (Δ): the smallest difference of the primary outcome that clinicians and patients would care about, and the effect size we want to minimally detect in a study
  • The Type I error (α): also known as a false positive. It represents a situation where the researcher concludes that there is a significant effect when, in reality, there is no such effect Type I error is classically set at 5%.
  •  The Power (1 - β) : it is the probability of correctly rejecting the null hypothesis (e.g. a cholesterol-lowering drug has an effect on cholesterol levels). It is classically set at 80 or 90%.

Where can I get help?

Your local Research Support Centre↧ can assist you with experienced staff regarding this topic

  • Basel, Departement Klinische Forschung (DKF), dkf.unibas.ch

  • Lugano, Clinical Trials Unit (CTU-EOC), ctueoc.ch

  • Bern, Department of Clinical Research (DCR), dcr.unibe.ch

  • Geneva, Clinical Research Center (CRC), crc.hug.ch

  • Lausanne, Clinical Research Center (CRC), chuv.ch

  • St. Gallen, Clinical Trials Unit (CTU), h-och.ch

  • Zürich, Clinical Trials Center (CTC), usz.ch

SCTO Research Tools & Resources

External Links

References

ICH GCP E6(R3) Guideline – see in particular:

  • Essential records table: documentation statistical consideration
  • 3.11.4.5.4 Monitoring of clinical trials
  • 3.16.2 b Statistical programming
  • B.10.2 Statistical consideration

ICH Topic E9 statistical Principles for Clinical Trials – see in particular

  • 3.5 Sample size
  • 4.4 Sample size adjustment

ICH Topic E8(R1) General considerations for clinical studies - see in particular

  • 5.1 Study population
  • 5.6 Statistical analysis

Swiss Law

ClinO – see in particular article

  • Art. 2b Definition of intervention

ClinO-MD – see in particular article

  • Art. 2a Definition of clinical intervention
  • Art. 2a Definition of performance study

HRO – see in particular article

  • Art. 3a Definition of research
Abbreviations
  • ClinO – Clinical Trials Ordinance
  • ClinO-MD – Ordinance on Clinical Trials of Medical Devices
  • CI – Confidence Interval
  • ClinO – Clinical Trials Ordinance
  • HRO – Human Research Ordinance
  • ICH – International Council for Harmonisation
  • ICH-GCP – International Council for Harmonisation - Good Clinical Practice
  • MI – Myocardial Infarction
  • SCTO – Swiss Clinical Trial Organisation
  • SD – Standard Deviation
  • SP-INV – Sponsor Investigator
  • SSC – Sample Size Calculation
Development ↦ Statistic Methodology ↦ Study Design ↦ Sample Size Calculation
Study
Basic

Provides some background knowledge and basic definitions

Basic Monitoring
Concept

Starts with a study idea

Ends after having assessed and evaluated study feasibility

Concept Statistic Methodology
Concept Drug or Device
Development

Starts with confidence that the study is feasible

Ends after having received ethics and regulatory approval

Development Drug or Device
Set-Up

Starts with ethics and regulatory approval

Ends after successful study initiation

Set-Up Ethics and Laws
Set-Up Statistic Methodology
Set-Up Quality and Risk
Set-Up Drug or Device
Conduct

Starts with participant recruitment

Ends after the last participant has completed the last study visit

Conduct Statistic Methodology
Conduct Drug or Device
Completion

Starts with last study visit completed

Ends after study publication and archiving

Completion Drug or Device
Current Path (click to copy): Development ↦ Statistic Methodology ↦ Study Design ↦ Sample Size Calculation