What is it? Why is it important?

An Interim Analysis (IA) is a planned evaluation of the data collected in an ongoing study before its completion.

 

The goal of an IA is to assess the safety, efficacy, and/or futility of a study. The aim is to provide grounds for the decision to modify, continue, or terminate a study.

 

IA results are reported to a Data Safety Monitoring Board (DSMB), also referred to as an Independent Data Monitoring Committee (IDMC).

 

Upon an IA assessment, the DSMB recommends to the SP-INV to either:

  • Continue the study as planned
  • Continue the study with modifications
  • Put enrolment (participant recruitment) on hold pending further DSMB recommendations
  • Terminate the study early

 

A study may terminate early due to the study`s:

  • Futility: a high likelihood that the intervention is ineffective or has only minimal benefit
  • Safety: unacceptable safety risks to participants (e.g. an unacceptable risk-benefit ratio)
  • Efficacy: A significant beneficial treatment effect with study success being declared early

More

An IA is recommended when:

  • The effect of the treatment is unknown and may be:
    • Particularly beneficial (efficacy)
    • Very limited or null (futility)
    • Deleterious (safety)
  • The sample size estimation is based on uncertain pre-study assumptions, which can be re-evaluated using study data.

 

IAs implemented during study conduct must be approved by the Ethics Committee (EC), and if applicable Swissmedic (risk-category B and C studies). Special circumstances may dictate that an IA be performed that was not planned at study start. In that case, the protocol must be amended and approved prior to performing the IA.

What do I need to do?

As a SP-INV:

  • Describe planned IA(s) in the study protocol, include the:
    • Rational (e.g. for safety-, efficacy reasons)
    • Number of planned IAs during study conduct
    • Timing of IA(s) (e.g. after 25% and/or 50% of participants did complete the study)
    • Statistical method (e.g. safety assessment based on AE/SAE frequency between intervention and control group)
    • Stopping criteria: define study termination criteria (e.g. SAEs/SAE-Medical Device in the intervention group as compared to the control group exceeds a pre-determined threshold)
  • Appoint members of the DSMB (i.e. describe procedures in a DSMB charter)
  • Appoint a study independent statistician who performs the IA and reports the results to the DSMB (e.g. ideally blinded to treatment allocation)

 

 

A statistician is blinded to the study when he/she does not know the study`s treatment allocation (i.e. which study participants are in the treatment group and which are in the control group).

More

Know that conducting multiple tests increases the likelihood of observing statistically significant results by chance, thereby inflating the Type I risk.

Depending on the type and number of interim analyses, the sample size calculation may thus need to be adapted to maintain the overall statistical power and control the Type I error rate.

Where can I get help?

Your local CTU can support you with experienced staff regarding this topic

References

ICH Topic E9 statistical Principles for Clinical Trials – see in particular

  • 4.5 Interim analysis and early stopping
Abbreviations
  • AE – Adverse Event
  • CTU – Clinical Trials Unit
  • DSMB – Data Safety Monitoring Board
  • EC – Ethics Committee
  • ICH – International Council for Harmonisation
  • IDMC – Independent Data Monitoring Committee
  • IA – Interim Analysis
  • SAE – Serious Adverse Event
  • SP-INV – Sponsor Investigator
Basic ↦ Statistics ↦ Study Design ↦ Interim Analysis
Study
Basic

Provides some background knowledge and basic definitions

Basic Monitoring
Basic Drug or Device
Concept

Starts with a study idea

Ends after having assessed and evaluated study feasibility

Concept Drug or Device
Development

Starts with confidence that the study is feasible

Ends after having received ethics and regulatory approval

Development Drug or Device
Set-Up

Starts with ethics and regulatory approval

Ends after successful study initiation

Set-Up Ethics and Laws
Set-Up Quality and Risk
Set-Up Drug or Device
Conduct

Starts with participant recruitment

Ends after the last participant has completed the last study visit

Conduct Drug or Device
Completion

Starts with last study visit completed

Ends after study publication and archiving

Completion Statistics
Completion Drug or Device
Current Path (click to copy): Basic ↦ Statistics ↦ Study Design ↦ Interim Analysis

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